Monday, February 13, 2012

Czech and US unemployment numbers do a flip!

Since 2008, the year of the big financial crises on Wall Street, US unemployment has been a concern. One of the major campaign issues in the 2008 residential election was how to lower that rate, and get the US economy "moving again". So it's good news that, according to the US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate has been falling in the USA since 2010:
UNEMPLOYMENT RATES IN THE USA:
  • Jan 2012 rate of 8.3%;
  • 2011 yearly rate of 8.9%;
  • 2010 yearly rate of 9.6%
  • 2009 yearly rate of 9.3%
By contrast, according to the Czech Ministry of Labor and Social Affairs, the Czech unemployment rate has risen sharply just this year:
  • January 2012 rate of 9.1%
  • 2011 yearly rate of 6.8%
US ECONOMY REBOUNDS
For the US, the fear came from Wall Street's assessment that the failure of a few huge financial institutions in 2007--2008 would cause the entire economy to crash.
As the past four years have passed without a crash, confidence has grown, and people are starting to want to invest their money, not hide it in a sock.

When money is put back into circulation for capital growth, housing starts and mortgages, and consumer spending, the economic data improves, and people gain even more confidence. Since all economies are based on confidence in the future and in reliable social cohesion, good numbers=a good economy. The unemployment rate falls as new jobs are created, and people are not afraid to change jobs or retire, creating openings. It's all good.
CZECH ECONOMY DRAGGED DOWN
According to Aktualne.cz,
"The data show that the Czech budget deficit has been growing faster this year than in 2010, while Czechs spent less in July 2011 compared to one year ago."

Yes, the deficit grew, in large part because the EU did not make the massive Euro grants that the Czechs have grown to depend on, not because Czech manufacturing was down or Czech government expenditures were up. The Greek, Italian, Irish and Spanish financial crises frightened the Europeans much as the Wall Street mess scared the Americans; the reaction of halting spending froze all the EU economies, as governments and people stopped spending.

What's peculiar about the Czech rise in unemployment is that the Czech economy itself is not in such bad shape, relative to the rest of the world. Actually, it's in good company.
According to the most recent numbers in the CIA Factbook (cia.gov), here are some nations with significant deficits:

USA
revenues: $2.264 trillion
expenditures: $3.604 trillion

Czech Republic
revenues: $87.25 billion
expenditures: $97.03 billion (2011 est.) 

France
revenues: $1.383 trillion
expenditures: $1.547 trillion (2011 est.)
     
Germany
revenues: $1.582 trillion
expenditures: $1.643 trillion (2011 est.)      

China
revenues: $1.555 trillion
expenditures: $1.681 trillion (2011 est.)
      
In contrast, a few countries are not in debt, but run a surplus:
South Korean glamour
South Korea
revenues: $267.9 billion
expenditures: $242 billion





Switzerland
revenues: $222 billion
expenditures: $216.8 billion
Norway
revenues: $283.8 billion
expenditures: $219.3 billion (2011 est.)      
Lichtenstein
revenues: $943 million
expenditures: $820 million

Saudi Arabia
revenues: $293.1 billion
expenditures: $210.6 billion (2011 est.)           
    
So why, then, has the US economy regained its impetus to expand, while the Czech economy is stuttering to a halt? Both have deficits, but, as we can see from the numbers in the CIA factbook, deficits don't cause countries to stop being leaders in the world economy. And surpluses don't always lead directly to world economic domination.

Psychologists would, perhaps, say that national character, historic self-perceptions and social relations are as important to economic health (as defined by the unemployment rate) as are such tangibles as budget deficits and industrial stability. In other words, what a nation believes about itself is the key to economic growth and sustained employment prospects for its citizens. Perception is powerful.

Of course, these statistics are, in a sense, "just numbers," as they don't reflect the individual trials of a person looking for a job in a climate of fear and uncertainty, due to poor economic growth numbers. But looking at unemployment as a reflection of an entire nation's culture, rather than as a personal failing, may ease the pain of not having a job.

Monday, January 23, 2012

Entrepreneurial wisdom

Many people dream about starting their own business. No more inflexible working hours, or interfering boss! The chance to finally do things MY WAY!
Sara and I had this dream for 8 years, and we brought in into full-time reality in 1993, when we ran the Business Leadership Forum: USA (Executive Education Program for Central European Business Leaders) programs in Florida.


We loved running our own business, but found that there were some unexpected developments in being entrepreneurs!
  1. We were our own bosses, true, but we now had dozens of other bosses as well--our customers, our partners and our volunteers. Their needs and wishes became our priority.
  2. Instead of evaluating our work performance by checking off a concise list of tasks and responsibilities on a job description, we had to do it all. Whatever needed to be done, we did ourselves or found someone to do for us.
  3. There was no paycheck coming in regularly. If we needed money, we had to find ways to bring it into our business--through customer payments, loans, savings, new products, lines of credit, grants and any other creative ways we could muster up.
  4. Since we were marriage and business partners, we had no leisure. Every waking minute was spent talking about, thinking about, and working in our business. We tried to fence off times of recreation, but invariably, the pressures and commitments of our business intruded into our tiny "personal life" space.
  5. We had a limited social life. Our family and friends didn't want to hear about our business all the time, and we were so absorbed in work that we had almost no other interests to share with them. Our time and money was so stretched that we could scarcely afford the kind of relaxed pace that family and friends expect in social activities. What time we could spend away from the business was spent in making new contacts, recruiting new customers and planning the next five years.
The lessons we learned in the 4 years we worked full-time (with no other jobs or income in our Institute were the most valuable lessons of a lifetime. We traded theory for facts in all areas of running a business: human resources, finance, logistics, marketing, customer relations, planning, public relations, etc. It was like getting an MBA, except for real--our case studies were not intellectual exercises, they were actual problems we had to solve to stay in business!

So when it comes to working for yourself, we could write a book! Hmm..our publishing house could publish and market it, maybe as an ebook...

Saturday, January 7, 2012

Redirect your life and your career

You can find information on how to get a job just about anywhere. Employment offices, university career centers, your local bookstore, and the Internet are full of good advice on getting a job, especially your first job.
But what about your next job? If you've been working for awhile, and need to change jobs or even careers, where can you get help?

ILI had designed a new program, Redirect, just for people who need to redirect their lives. Maybe you are moving to a new city or country, or have reached the top of your current career field, or are about ready to retire, or need to find a new source of income, or simply feel that your life is stale. Whatever the reason, you need to think in a new way about your life and how to use the resources you've gathered in a different way.

Redirect offers a way to evaluate and move on in life. The next Redirect program begins on January 16, in Prague. Please send us an email at jbt@ili.cc for more details.

Friday, December 2, 2011

Looking Ahead, again

In January 2011, Sara and I hosted a small "Looking Ahead" program in our flat in Vinohrady. When we started the program, two of the participants had jobs they thought were secure. But within the next few months, both these people were looking for a new job.

Why do I tell this story? To illustrate that no one's career is 100% certain. Relying on your current job, no matter how much you like it or how secure you may feel in it, is not a good strategy in a competitive global economy, where everyone's jobs are tied together at some level.

To keep your job-search skills up-to-date, and to continue to learn how to meet your own career and life goals, we recommend a yearly "refresher" career development program. "Looking Ahead" is just four sessions, twice a week for 2 weeks. But in those 4 sessions, we can help you pinpoint your career dreams, understand your own motivation and purpose in life, and add some job-search skills to your portfolio.

Join us for this "Looking Ahead"! Each session is from 7-9 PM, at our flat in Vinohrady. Cost is 800 kc.

Here are the dates: Monday, Jan. 9; Thursday, Jan. 12; Monday, Jan. 16 and Thursday, Jan. 19.

Call me at 736-645-729 for more details.